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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 26th, 2023

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  • My bet is that the opportunity cost for imposing new and meaningful constraints on China is already too high and this has begun to clarify for US elites - basically the Asia pivot is sunk cost in the form it was conceived of during the Obama admin, as full spectrum dominance is no longer a realistic goal at any price.

    Why then cut Europe loose by allowing NATO to fall apart if you can strip them for parts in the medium term using that tried and tested trojan horse?

    Therefore, if we suppose China will remain on the board in its present form, the maintenance of a heavy handed material and ideological infrastructure to prevent Europe from economically pivoting to China, particularly once the US ramps up cannibalisation of alliance members, would appear to be a necessity. This is one lesson from the last few months for me.

    As an ideological project NATO works amazingly, even Europeans populations are still bought in. It’s like the final American postwar power projection tool that is functioning just as it was intended to in 1949.




  • I hear what you’re saying, but I would argue it’s a ploy to enforce the 5% NATO target knowing the eurocrats always roll over

    it would still seem like a bridge too far at the current juncture for the americans to let NATO fail and concede unopposed security hegemony over the EU, a rebalancing to make them carry costs makes much more sense to me and I view it in that light (though I obviously take your point about the balance of military industrial capacities)

    also there are rumblings that this US admin is beginning to accept multipolarity; if that is true surely that reframes the strategic outlook and calls a full pivot to asia into question